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Preventive War: A Failed Doctrine
New York Times
September 12, 2004
If facts mattered in American politics, the Bush-Cheney ticket
would not be basing its re-election campaign on the fear-mongering
contention that the surest defense against future terrorist attacks
lies in the badly discredited doctrine of preventive war. Vice
President Dick Cheney took this argument to a disgraceful low last
week when he implied that electing John Kerry and returning to
traditional American foreign policy values would invite a devastating
new strike.
So far, the preventive war doctrine has had one real test: the invasion
of Iraq. Mr. Bush terrified millions of Americans into believing that
forcibly changing the regime in Baghdad was the only way to keep Iraq's
supposed stockpiles of unconventional weapons out of the hands of Al Qaeda.
Then it turned out that there were no stockpiles and no operational links
between Saddam Hussein's regime and Al Qaeda's anti-American terrorism.
Meanwhile, America's longstanding defensive alliances were weakened and
the bulk of America's ground combat troops tied down in Iraq for what now
appears to be many years to come. If that is making this country safer, it
is hard to see how. The real lesson is that America dangerously erodes its
military and diplomatic defenses when it charges off unwisely after
hypothetical enemies.
Before the Iraq fiasco, American leaders rightly viewed war as a last
resort, appropriate only when the nation's vital interests were actively
threatened and reasonable diplomatic efforts had been exhausted. That
view always left room for pre-emptive attacks; America is under no
obligation to sit and wait, if it is clear that some enemy is actually
preparing to strike first. But it correctly drew the line at preventive
wars against potential foes who might, or might not, be thinking about
doing something dangerous. As the administration's disastrous experience
in Iraq amply demonstrates, that is still the wisest course and the one
that keeps America most secure in an increasingly dangerous era.
The terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001, plainly ushered in a new era
of catastrophic threats to the American homeland. If these are to be met
effectively, major changes in national security policy will be required.
But a shift toward preventive wars is not one of them. As the 9/11
commission report clearly established, international terrorist groups
like Al Qaeda are highly mobile, self-financing and largely independent
of traditional states. Governments that grant them sanctuary and facilities,
like Afghanistan under the Taliban or Sudan, must face strong international
pressure, including American military attack. Any attempt by the president
and his surrogates to lump the invasion of Afghanistan into the category of
preventive wars is plain wrong. In fact, the war in Iraq has undermined the
important work that American forces are doing in Afghanistan by diverting
soldiers, supplies and money.
Al Qaeda has already declared war on the United States, and America needs
to fight back relentlessly - in Afghanistan and through international
efforts to capture terrorist leaders who function with forged passports
and visas, safe houses and sleeper cells. That is why Mr. Cheney is also
wrong to disparage law-enforcement cooperation with allies as an important
weapon in this war.
Instead, he promises more preventive, offensive wars against hypothetical
dangers like Iraq. Besides estranging America from its main European and
Asian allies, and leaving Washington looking like an aggressor to much of
the Arab and Muslim world, these policies kill American soldiers and
civilians in the countries attacked, and they threaten to tie down the
Army and Marine divisions America needs to have available for responding
to real threats in the dangerous decades ahead.
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